Updates

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Records:

2008: 57-36-2 ATS (61.3%)
2009: 55-30-1 ATS (64.7%)

Overall: 112-66-3 ATS (62.9%)

Saturday, January 31, 2009

Super Bowl XLIII

Unfortunately after two weeks of analysis I do not have any official plays for the game this weekend. Despite it being the Super Bowl, I refuse to force a play when I am not confident in it hitting. For anyone interested, the program plays suggested Arizona +6.5 and the over (I had said the under last week but I had failed to update a part of it, which luckily I caught), yet my gut goes with Pittsburgh -6.5 and the under.

When I've tried to break down this game, I've just come across too many unanswered questions. For one, Hines Ward's health will play a big part in how effective the Steelers' offense can be. We know what the players and coaches are saying, but that doesn't mean that's how things really are. Turnovers are the other problem we face trying to figure this game out. Warner has been spectacular so far in the playoffs, but he has not faced a defense nearly as good as Pittsburgh's. This also will basically be a road game for Kurt, and he tends not to take care of the ball as well when he isn't at home. Since turnovers are one of the biggest factors in swinging games one way or the other, I don't like to pick a game when I'm not sure what to expect.

So, I'm going to wrap up the year with my 57-36-2 ATS record, and after the Super Bowl begin working towards finding any potential program improvements and gearing up for next year. I hope you all enjoy the game tomorrow, and good luck with any wagers you decide to place!