Sunday Picks

Here are the picks I like for this week, I'll post a Week 10 recap including a potential MNF play on Monday. If you are on the email list you will have any MNF plays emailed to you as well.

Official Plays:

• Buffalo +3.5
• Green Bay +2.5
• New Orleans +1
• Pittsburgh -3
  
• Baltimore Houston over 42
• Green Bay Minnesota over 44.5
• Kansas City San Diego over 47

Leans:

• Carolina -9.5
  
• New York Giants +3
• Baltimore PK
• Buffalo New England under 41
• Carolina Oakland under 37.5
• Giants Eagles over 43

For those of you who want write ups, at this point I don't think I'll be doing those, aside from Monday and Thursday nights when there are far less selections. I'm fairly certain that most if not all of you are just following along right now to get an idea of how reliable I really am rather than using my plays to place your wagers. Once I gain a larger following and have established myself as a reliable resource, I may be inclined to change things. Good luck with your bets this weekend!

Thursday Night Football

I'm going to go ahead and post a "Lean", leans will not count towards my official record but will be reflected in my leans record. I find this game difficult to wrap my head around for two reasons. First of all, my system is not showing a strong value in either totals or sides, which makes it difficult to determine which way to go. Also, with Quinn in at QB, the Browns' offense takes on a different look. My system is not taking this change into account, (something I am working to fix) and we really don't know if it will be for better or for worse. So, taking into account my system's reading and my personal opinion of that reading and of this game, here is the lean I'm going to go with:

• Denver +3

My system also leaned towards this game to go under 46, but I just can't bring myself to recommend that pick because I see too much potential for this game to turn into a shootout. I think the most attractive option is to make a teaser of Denver +9 and over 40, but stick with what you're comfortable with. Good luck on your wagers, and hopefully we have a winning start to this site!